Manuscript Abstract

TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MILK PRODUCTION IN EGYPT: AN ANALYTICAL POLICY FRAMEWORK
Rania Youssif, Fatma Mabrouk, Ahmed A. Mashaal, Alshaima M. Fangary, Moataz Eliw

Rania Youssif1, Fatma Mabrouk2, Ahmed. A. Mashaal3, Alshaima M. Fangary4 and Moataz Eliw1,5*

1College of Business, Huaiyin Institute of Technology, Post code: 223003, China.

2Department of Economics, College of Business Administration, Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University, P.O. Box 84428, Riyadh 11671, Saudi Arabia.

3Agricultural Economics Research Institute, Agricultural Research Center, 12618, Egypt.

4Department of Agricultural Economics and Extension, Faculty of Agriculture, Qena University, Egypt

5Department of Agricultural Economics, Extension and Rural Society, Faculty of Agriculture, Beni-Suef University, P.O. Box 62521, Egypt.

Corresponding Author: moatazeliw@agr.bsu.edu.eg
Page Number(s): 808-819
Published Online First: February 14, 2026
Publication Date: May 05, 2026
ABSTRACT

The current research provides an exhaustive analysis on the tendencies in the Egyptian dairy industry in relation to the efficacy of conflicts, future directions, and strategies for an improved efficiency in the dairy food security in the Egyptian dairy sector. Within this context, using economic models between 2005 and 2023, it was evident that there was a tremendous rise in the cow milk industry in terms of an average annual increase of 47.1 thousand tons at an annual compounded rate of 1.4%, while there was a tremendous drop in the buffalo milk industry as well as the goat milk industry with an annual rate of 3.7% and 6.6%, respectively. Therefore, even though there was a drop in the wheat-green fodder area under cultivation from 2.58 million acres to 1.75 million acres, the growth in the efficiency level of dry and concentrated feed with 40% and 43% improvement in efficiency, respectively, assisted in raising the productivity level due to the effective implementation of modern management practices, feed management, & technology implementation in the industry. The total milk production increased from 5.55 million tons to 7.37 million tons. The correlation study proved the existence of a positive relation between total dairy production and measures of quality of feed, hence establishing the effectiveness of optimal input management. The partial genetic substitute approach with a 25% replacement of local genetic strains of cows and buffaloes with superior foreign breeds projected an expected increase in total dairy production of 86%, thus meeting and exceeding the local needs of milk production for possible exports.

Keywords: Dairy production, Food Security, Self-sufficiency, Breed Improvement, Agricultural Policy, Egypt
Open Access: This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license ( https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).


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